Wednesday, March 25, 2015

India: Insurance market to quadruple to about US$250 bln a year by 2025

India's insurance sector is expected to quadruple to about US$250 billion over the next decade from around US$60 billion at present, according to a study by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) prepared in partnership with consultancy firm McKinsey & Co. The report said that the Indian insurance industry is currently the 16th largest market in the world and is expected to be one of the top 10 markets by 2025. .

The study, “India Insurance Vision 2025” recommends an inclusive and progressive growth strategy for the industry . Such a strategy would enable the Indian life insurance industry to achieve 12% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) to reach US$160 billion and the non-life insurance industry to see 22% CAGR to US$80 billion over the next 10 years, the report said. .

“The last few years have been challenging for the industry with declining growth in life insurance premiums and significant challenges in non-life profitability. This was driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and structural challenges inherent in the insurance industry. “However, an improving economy with potential regulatory reforms and concerted action by industry players can usher in an era of significant growth as well as value creation,” the report added. .

Mr Analjit Singh, head of the CII national committee on insurance and pensions and Chairman of Max India, said that the industry has the potential to grow three to five times in size over the next decade. "For this to happen, policy action by the regulator, collaboration between players, and the individual player's push to develop distribution and technical capabilities, would be critical," he said.

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Government raises FDI cap in insurance sector to 49%


Nearly two months after promulgating an ordinance to usher in long-stalled reforms in the insurance sector, the government on Friday notified the Indian Insurance Companies (Foreign Investment) Rules, 2015, to raise the composite foreign investment ceiling in the sector from 26% to 49%.
The rules also will ensure that ownership and control shall remain at all times in the hands of resident Indian entities, a finance ministry statement said.
The 49% cap will also apply to insurance brokers, third party administrators, surveyors and loss assessors and other insurance intermediaries, it added.
The ministry said though FDI proposals up to 26% of the total paid-up equity of the Indian insurance company shall be allowed on the automatic route, proposals which take the total foreign investment above 26% and up to 49% shall require FIPB approval.
These rules will come into force from the date of their publication in the Official Gazette. Raising the foreign investment limit is expected
to generate inflows of $6-8 billion in the insurance sector that is looking for growth capital. The capital requirement of the Indian insurance industry is estimated at $12 billion by 2020.
Foreign portfolio investment in Indian insurance companies will be governed by the FEMA Regulations, 2000 and the SEBI (Foreign Portfolio Investors) Regulations. Any increase of foreign investment of an Indian insurance company shall be in accordance with the pricing guidelines specified by RBI under the FEMA.
British health insurance company Bupa had recently announced plans to hike its holding in its Indian joint
venture to 49%, making it the first foreign company to go for the 49% limit after the change in norms.
Lamenting the Opposition’s obstructionist stance in Parliament, finance minister Arun Jaitley had earlier hinted at the government’s intent to convene a joint session of Parliament to raise the foreign investment limit in insurance companies to 49% from 26% if Parliament fails to pass the Insurance Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2013, even in the Budget session.
The Modi government, which accepted all recommendations of the House’s select panel on the insurance Bill, hanging fire since 2008, could not introduce it in the 245-member Upper House.
According to the House panel, the domestic insurance sector needs Rs 55,000 crore over the next five years.
Foreign insurance companies having operations in India through joint ventures with domestic firms include Netherlands-based Aegon, Canada’s Sun Life Financial, Italy’s Generali, Prudential of the UK and Nippon Life Insurance.
All are believed to have expansion plans in the country and others are planning to set up shop.
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Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Aerospace Supply Chain: Opportunities for India Suppliers

For the aerospace supply chain, this is an opportunity as well as a threat. It is an opportunity for those suppliers who can innovate, adopt high level technologies, implement best practices and invest in change – such suppliers will win larger amounts of work from their customers.

For the aerospace supply chain, this is an opportunity as well as a threat. It is an opportunity for those suppliers who can innovate, adopt high level technologies, implement best practices and invest in 
change – such suppliers will win larger amounts of work from their customers.
The aerospace industry continues to be challenged by increasing competition and cost pressures as well as rising energy costs, high raw material prices and a weak US Dollar. To combat these challenges, airframe manufacturers, aerospace OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers are leveraging the advantages arising from the globalization of the aerospace supply chain. They are adapting to these challenges by outsourcing more and more elements of technology, design and component/sub-assembly manufacture.
For the aerospace supply chain, this is an opportunity as well as a threat. It is an opportunity for those suppliers who can innovate, adopt high level technologies, implement best practices and invest in change – such suppliers will win larger amounts of work from their customers. Those suppliers who cannot do this, could find themselves removed from the airframe manufacturer/OEMs’ supply chain.
Typical Aerospace Supply Chain 
For the successful players, the coordination and integration of supply chain practices and processes are becoming increasingly important, and requires lots of attention. Traditionally the large aircraft manufacturer would define and specify exactly what their Tier 1 suppliers should produce for them The airframe manufacturers would do the total aircraft design, and give their suppliers detailed specifications and drawings for the manufacture of sub structures and sub systems. This is changing. Airframe manufacturers and Tier 1 suppliers have become large scale integrators (“super integrators”) and coordinators of airplane production. New strategies adopted by the aerospace industry to achieve this include greater dependence on Tier 1s, increased risk sharing by suppliers, adoption of low cost region suppliers, increased aero structures outsourcing, and an increased transparency in their aircraft program plans and schedules. RFPs are shared openly, and proposal making is more a joint process between customer and supplier. There is more focus on systems integration, less internal production capability, a desire to work with a lesser number of Tier I primes, and significant reduction in direct dealings with Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers (except when developing such suppliers in low cost regions like India). Some examples of this happening have been studied by management consulting company AeroStrategy (www.AeroStrategy.com) – they describe how Embraer had about 350 suppliers for their EMB 145 aircraft, of which 4 were risk sharing, compared to 38 suppliers for the EMB 170/190, of which 16 were risk sharing. Similarly, Rolls Royce had about 250 suppliers for their Trent 500 engine, which went down to 140 suppliers for the Trent 900, 75 suppliers for the Trent 1000, and it is estimated that there would be only around 25 to 35 suppliers for the engine being developed for the next generation single aisle/narrow body (the Boeing 737 RS or the Airbus NSR).
For the successful players, the coordination and integration of supply chain practices and processes are becoming increasingly important, and requires lots of attention. This requires an organization-wide expansive learning process followed by development of a whole new network of next level (Tier 2/3) partners. It is a strategy that will involve major changes in aircraft production
Airbus’s Power8 initiative, which aims to improve financial returns, reduce cycle times and increase overall efficiency, also incorporates changes in supply chain. Airbus has initiated plans to shift from seven, mostly national centers of excellence, to four transnational centers of excellence. Airbus senior management has publically stated that they are reshaping and consolidating their existing supply base, and building a network of strong Risk Sharing Partners to Tier 1 suppliers. For example, EADS’s E2S (Engineering Supplier Synergy) program reduced EADS’s more than 2000 engineering services suppliers, to just 28, of which 4 are from India. The aim is to turn Airbus into an extended enterprise, and it is expected that the A350 XWB will draw on this new business model, as Airbus assigns larger work packages to Tier 1 suppliers. Airbus has stated that about 50 per cent of aero structures work will be outsourced to risk-sharing partners, and this is expected to help address launch aid and political issues.
Boeing’s 787 development is another example of leveraging a global supply chain, with aero structures work being done in Japan, larger amounts of fuselage work being outsourced to American aero structures Tier 1s, and avionics development and testing being outsourced to India through Boeing’s systems Tier 1 suppliers.
However, increased outsourcing gives rise to tensions and conflicts between established practices and the need to change these practices. Internal resistance to such changes, for various reasons ranging from perceived loss of job security (and thereby loss of income) to loss of control on the development process (and thereby loss of control on a program schedule) gives rise to conflicts. The recent strike by Boeing machinists is an example of such a conflict. Senior management in airframe manufacturer/OEM companies need to navigate these hurdles in order to successfully leverage global supply chains. One important message to give the existing employees in their organizations (substantiated with data, policy implementation proof, etc.) is that outsourcing work is good. For example, outsourcing would actually mean more job security for existing workers, since in periods of downturns, it would be the contractors/outsourced work that would be removed/stopped first, thus protecting the in-house workforce. In addition, information should be shared with the employees about the lack of younger aerospace engineers in the system, thereby creating the potential of a vacuum in aerospace engineering workforce when the existing workforce retires (this is a demographic shift that is causing major concern in the western world). Also, market information should be shared with them, showing the buying patterns of aircraft worldwide, and indicating the high growth areas. The logic used could go like this: India and China are buying the largest number of planes, and so these countries will play a larger role in the development of the planes, due to offset obligations and the need for airframe manufacturers to be seen as playing a significant role in the high-tech industrialization of these countries. Lastly, argument has to be made that globalization of the supply chain would make the airframe manufacturer more competitive, and hence will enable more planes to be sold, and hence would help in the sustenance and growth of the company. But one must admit, it is far easier to expound the above arguments on paper, than it is to actually convince an existing employee base that globalization and outsourcing is good for most people concerned. The existing realities and relationships within an organization are much more complex, and it requires an imaginative and sensitive mind to be aware of the power plays and insecurities involved. Thus, suppliers need to be aware of this, and must take into account all of this when making a pitch for outsourcing. Also, it helps if in addition to the traditional stakeholders like Senior Management, Engineering and Procurement within an organization who get involved in outsourcing decision, the HR (Human Resources) department also gets involved.
In the present competitive global market, major investments have to be made to enhance the innovative steps regarding design, technology and operations. These huge investments cannot be carried by airframe manufacturers alone. Therefore those high technology suppliers and Tier 1s who are able to invest in change are taken on board as risk-sharing partners with the airframe manufacture. This requires an organization-wide expansive learning process followed by development of a whole new network of next level (Tier 2/3) partners. It is a strategy that will involve major changes in aircraft production. The airframe manufacturer therefore will no longer tell the partners what to do. They will instead search the global market for the most capable and reliable suppliers as risk-sharing partners. The capacity of an aerospace supplier to appreciate, process and absorb external knowledge and learnings from past and present experiences, is important, when it comes to winning a position as a risk-sharing partner to an airframe manufacturer. As a result of globalization, airframe manufacturers and OEMs have a richer portfolio of supplier alternatives than earlier. Three key regions––East Asia (including China & India), Eastern Europe, and Latin America, are coming up as locations where labor intensive aerospace work can be done at lower costs. Aero structures work is increasingly viewed as non-core for aircraft OEMs. Most OEMs are not competitive in aero structures because of high labor costs and a broad array of suppliers. As a result, they are pursuing aero structures outsourcing on new aircraft programs, particularly in the air transport and rotary wing segments. Training and developing low cost region companies is a relatively low cost expenditure for the Tier 1 suppliers and the airframe manufacturer, compared to dealing with western labor costs. For players in the aerospace supply chain, the capacity to engage into these processes and benefit from them is highly dependent on a company’s position in the supply chain. Small, low technology western suppliers do not usually have the financial capacity to redesign their operations significantly. These companies are facing competition from the suppliers in the low cost regions like India.
The above gives rise to opportunities for companies in India (outside of HAL) who aspire to become players in the aerospace supply chain. Companies like who can provide engineering design services ranging from CAD (drafting, detailing and modeling), CAE (finite element analysis, computational fluid dynamics, simulation and flight physics), electrical wiring/harness design, technical publications, manufacturing engineering, avionics design, testing and integration, etc. will find buyers for their services, provided they also have the necessary process discipline that certifications like AS9100, DO178B and DO254 compliance provide. Excellent configuration management, IP security and integrity guarantee are some of the other things that aerospace OEMs and Tier 1s will look for, in India companies. But the most important factor would be aerospace domain knowledge. Given the level of domain knowledge that exists in services companies in India today, especially in mechanical engineering and avionics, a reasonably high level of work does get outsourced to India. However, OEMs and Tier 1s do not farm out very high level / complexity in large volumes to India currently – they prefer that such work is done by existing Tier 1 companies in the west who then use Indian companies for further subcontracting, and provide the domain knowledge, guidance and hand holding necessary to ensure smooth execution of the work. For Indian suppliers to go higher up the value chain in design services, they need to have delegated authority signatories / direct engineering representatives (DERs) on board who can sign-off on designs. For this, they need to implement EFQM (European Foundation for Quality Management) systems, get EASA and FAA approved processes, etc. They need to have people with enough high level domain knowledge on board. While HAL, NAL and DRDO organizations are a source of such people, Indian suppliers should also look at tapping the pool of aerospace chief engineer level people from USA, UK, France, Germany, etc. who would be retiring from their existing jobs, but willing to work on a part time / consultancy basis, thus imparting their tribal knowledge to younger engineers. QuEST Global Engineering is one such company that provides engineering design services using such people.
But design work can only save some money due to labor arbitrage, because it is a one time activity. For OEMs and Tier 1s to really benefit from low cost regions, service provider companies in these regions need to help OEMs and Tier 1s save money by doing design in such a way, so as to save costs in manufacturing, either through reduction of material costs, reduction in machining operations, using lesser number of parts, reducing assembly costs, etc. Since manufacturing is a repeated activity (i.e. multiple components/sub assemblies need to be manufactured from the same design), there will be a higher quantum of savings from manufacturing. By getting aerospace work done in India, aerospace OEMs and Tier 1s can derive as much as 50% cost savings on engineering design. This can directly be attributed to the difference in cost of engineering design labor between the west and India. But the quantum of savings can be increased by outsourcing machining related activities, special processing and assembly related activities. In order to deliver cost savings in these areas, engineering design companies in India need to be very familiar with the nuances of aerospace manufacturing. In addition, companies need to be able to understand how replacement of operations that were automated in the west, can be replaced by skilled labor in India. Being in a low cost region does not provide any advantage as far as the acquisition cost of machines and automation equipment is concerned – a special purpose machine costs the same in India as in the US. Similarly, the raw material would cost the same in both regions (probably a bit more in India due to the logistical requirements). Thus it limits the savings potential when the same machining or manufacturing process is involved in India as it is in the west. This problem is accentuated by very high levels of cost of capital (currently at around 14%) in India. Hence, the key to achieve higher savings in manufacturing costs, is to explore the possibility of how the initial/upfront capital expenditure costs can be reduced, and how the labor content can be increased. The opportunity for the aerospace industry therefore, is to look at accomplishing this in India. This can be achieved in India by de-automation, rather than by automation - the exact opposite of what happened in the west. If one were to breakup/strip down the manufacturing processes, and study what previously automated activities could be replaced by labor without compromising on quality, thereby doing away with some machines and equipment and thus saving capital investments, the potential cost savings could be as high as 20% - 30% in the total cost of manufacturing. This is one of the principles used by QuEST Global Manufacturing to deliver value in aerospace machining to its customers. For example, one of the products currently outsourced to QuEST Global for manufacturing, required a $1,000,000 flexible transfer line which needed auto-loading and transfer automation based on the original manufacturing process. QuEST Global substituted the elements of auto loading and transfer automation with manual loading and transfer. This reduced the capital expenditure by more than $500,000. This in effect increased the potential manufacturing cost savings and rendered the project economically viable for offshore outsourcing. An important point to be noted, is that the substitution of automation with labor must be supported by streamlining of systems and practices, ensuring the appropriate levels of skilled labor with the right knowledge is put to the task, etc. This involves extensive training, strict adherence to standard operating procedures and quality consciousness. The initial cost of this effort can be high due to the learning curve, and this can reduce the saving potential for the first year of operations, but it delivers higher savings in the subsequent years. Further cost savings can be achieved by doing the process design in such a manner as to take into account the new de-automated manufacturing process.
Global Competitiveness: Aerospace Machined parts & Assembly (QuEST analysis based on McKinsey Institute study)
QuEST Global (the holding company of QuEST Global Engineering and QuEST Global Manufacturing) has taken a further step by creating QuEST Global SEZ (Special Economic Zone). In this precision engineering SEZ, best-in-class facilities and infrastructure for the global aerospace industry will be provided. The SEZ is spread over 300 acres at Belgaum in Northern Karnataka and will provide an ecosystem for OEMs, their suppliers, all ancillary and related end user industries to set up precision manufacturing and engineering units. The SEZ has received all statutory approvals and Phase-I will be operational by end of this year. QuEST Global is inviting like-minded companies who can play a value-adding role in the aerospace precision engineering ecosystem, to setup facilities in the SEZ, where there would be a steady flow of job work. QuEST Global is inviting players across the value chain, like aerospace specialty metal suppliers, investment, sand and lost-wax casting companies, tooling companies, fastener manufacturers, sheet metalworking companies, composites manufacturing companies, and heat treatment companies to setup shop in the SEZ. QUEST Global by itself is expanding its precision machining (3/4/5 axis machining) in the SEZ, and is also setting up a special processing company as a 50:50 joint venture with Magellan Aerospace. This processing company will provide services like anodizing, alodine, paint & primer, passivation, shot peening, MPI, FPI, heat treatment, assembly processes, etc.
The strategic advantage of having players across the value chain in aerospace manufacturing in the SEZ, would be the amount of time saved for logistics which is highly time consuming in the case of aerospace systems and assemblies. Since each unit in the SEZ would be a specialist in their own segment, this would be more of a win-win situation where everyone would gain.
The theoretical business opportunity for Indian aerospace supply chain players is huge. What companies need to do, is to enlarge the size of the pie, by doing things to move up the aerospace value chain, thus gaining the confidence of aerospace OEMs and Tier 1s, and converting the potential into reality. And companies like QuEST Global are doing just that.
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ICRA expects auto industry to post 11-12% revenue growth

CHENNAI: Car sales may have been slow so far this year but the fiscal ahead should see decent growth for the automotive industry. 

Credit rating agency ICRA expects the Indian auto component industry to benefit from benign raw material prices and expected revival in automobile demand over the next 12-18 months. 

According to its estimates, 2014-15 revenues for the industry should grow by 11-12% supported by healthy recovery by major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the medium and heavy commercial vehicles (M&HCV) and passenger vehicle (PV) segment. 



Volumes in the light commercial vehicle (LCV) and tractors segment would, however, decline impacting component manufacturers' dependent on these segments. 

Further, ICRA expects operating margins for the industry to expand by 150-170bps to 15.5-15.7% (PY 14.0%), given the continuing focus on cost curtailment and benign raw material prices even as volumes expand leading to apportioning of fixed costs over a larger revenue base. 

Over the medium term, ICRA expects the auto component industry's revenues to grow at a relatively faster pace than the OEM segment riding on several factors including auto OEMs' growing thrust on localization, the Make in India policy, auto suppliers' efforts to expand business into new geographies, the strong upside potential to replacement market demand and increasing sophistication of vehicles leading to higher value added parts. 

The report dwells on the modes and investment in research & development (R&D) by Indian companies as they are faced with intensifying competition from international auto component manufacturers. During 2013-14, Indian auto component companies invested 0.6% of their net sales towards R&D activity as against 0.2% during 2008-09. 

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Growing data demand may outstrip LTE infra in 2 years — report






MANILA, Philippines — The growing consumer appetite for mobile data is set to take a toll on LTE hotspots if no additional strategy and technology is deployed in the coming years according to a report by US tech firm Amdocs.
According to the company, current research into mobile traffic has shown that the “ever-increasing demand for data may exhaust the capacity of 4G/LTE network hotspots within the next two to three years.”
In the annual Amdocs State of the RAN (radio access network) research, the company noted “the urgency for service providers to develop a ‘smart-data’ capacity strategy and prioritize investment where there is a demonstrated return-on-investment and allocate capacity automatically to maximize customer experience and profitability.”
In the case of the Philippines, Amdocs also noted the dramatic growth in smartphone penetration, which is expected to reach 50 percent this year as local telcos expand network capacity.
“With rapidly expanding 4G/LTE networks in the country, the Philippines is poised to see more growth in its mobile consumer market and increased demand in data connectivity,” Amdocs said.
Other key findings of the report, reportedly based on 25 million voice and data connections around the world, include:
Hotspots continue to get hotter: The top 20 percent of locations in cities account for 80 percent of all network traffic. This intense concentration of demand will accelerate the adoption of new network technologies, including the proliferation of small cells and the introduction of carrier-grade Wi-Fi to ease the burden.
LTE alone will not solve the problem: Per subscriber usage continues to grow; in many instances doubling over the last year. LTE is delivering increased network capacity by offloading as much as 50 percent of traffic from 3G networks but the ever-increasing demand for mobile data may exhaust this new capacity within 2-3 years.
The RAN has the biggest impact on network customer experience: Eighty percent of dropped voice calls and more than 50 percent of data throughput issues originate in the RAN, which provides wireless mobile connection for phones and tablets and other devices, using a combination of technologies, including macro cells and small cells utilizing 3G, 4G and increasingly Wi-Fi for offload. Any improvements here will present a significant opportunity for service providers as 25-40 percent of customer churn is network related.
Data demand is fueled by new devices and the “technorati” dominate consumption: The majority of network data usage is being driven by only 10 percent of subscribers – the “technorati”. This segment of heavy data users consumes up to 10 times more data per session than the average user, comprising 80 percent of the overall network traffic. The ability to identify and address high-demand subscriber segments will be critical to managing scarce network capacity.
Social media and “second screens” dominate stadium events: Sporting and entertainment events already create significant surges in mobile data demand. During the event itself social media uploads and “second screens” (watching content on a mobile device at the same time) creates a double spike, increasing data sessions by up to 50 percent. Voice calls during events drops by up to 50 percent as fans concentrate on the action.
“This research shows that service providers are facing a multi-dimensional challenge — to provide ever-increasing network capacity, greater coverage and better quality, particularly in mobile hotspots,” said Amdocs vice president for product and solutions marketing Rebecca Prudhomme. “The answer is no longer simply just about adding hardware — small cells and Wi-Fi will offer new options — but to introduce smart solutions to prioritize investment and allocate resources automatically to maximize experience and profitability.”
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Monday, March 23, 2015

Vietnam Ranks 7th In Asia In Series Of Internet Users

Vietnam had some-more than 33 million Internet users during a finish of 2013, forming 37% of a nation’s sum population, according to a Ministry of Information and Communications (MIC)’s White Book.


internet users


Other statistics in a White Book suggested that Vietnam ranked third in terms of sum series of internet users in Southeast Asia, seventh in Asia and 18th in a world.
The series of internet users rose some-more than 2 million in 2013 to 33.1 million compared to a before year, creation a republic one of a tip 10 fastest flourishing countries in Asia and 18th in a world.
The price for internet use was among a lowest, station during a 8th position of a list of 148 countries.
More than 100,000 domains were purebred in 2013, bringing a sum figure to 266,000, with “.vn” holding a lead and recording an annual expansion of 172%.
A new news of Gartner, a heading American information record use headquartered in Connecticut a USA, in spin showed that Vietnam was among a tip 10 Asia-Pacific nations and a world’s tip 30 in terms of program outsourcing.
The news estimated a sum income from Vietnam’s information record (IT) attention reached some-more than US$39.5 billion in 2013, mountainous 55.3% from a year earlier.
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